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SEAPORT-001 — SABAH MARITIME INTELLIGENCE

Classification: Strategic Intelligence | Confidence: HIGH | v4.5 | March 2026 | 110+ verified sources
SCENARIO
0 EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT
STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT
Sabah's maritime sector is at a critical inflection point. SBCP operates at 100%+ utilization (502K TEU vs 500K capacity) while its RM900M expansion (WCT-CCCC JV) sits at ~18% completion — creating an acute congestion crisis with 8-day vessel wait times. DP World assumed full operational control 9 Sep 2024 (51% equity), integrating Sabah into an 88.3M TEU global network; Q1 FY2025 post-handover saw Suria revenue -37.6% YoY as SBCP flows shifted to JV. FY2025 consolidated: RM277.8M revenue (+2.5%), PBT RM61.5M, PAT RM46.5M. The RM84.3B Sabah economy depends on three commodity pillars — crude petroleum (RM21.3B), palm oil (RM17.3B via 128 mills, 4.27M t CPO), and LNG (RM4.6B) — all subject to price volatility. Key edge: SBCP THC at ~RM280/TEU is 28% below Port Klang (RM390 post-Jul 2025) — a significant competitive tariff advantage for BIMP-EAGA routing.

VALUATION CONCLUSION: DCF analysis yields intrinsic value range of RM1.06-RM2.76/share across scenarios. Current price RM1.63 sits at base-case fair value, with asymmetric upside if concession extends (+63% to RM2.76). ROCE (~2.9% FY24) below WACC (6.87%) signals current value destruction — but expansion completion reverses this by 2029 under base case. Peer comparison confirms extreme undervaluation at 6.94x P/E vs sector median 19.7x.
KEY INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENT
Under base scenario, SBCP reaches 750K TEU by 2030, generating RM225M revenue at 25% EBITDA. Concession extension (expires Aug 2034) is the single largest binary risk — failure eliminates ~60% of terminal value. Probability-weighted expected value across scenarios: RM1.84/share (+13% upside). Entry signal: below RM1.40 with expansion progress >30%.
CONFIDENCE RATINGS
Financial DataHIGH
Throughput ModelHIGH
DCF ValuationMEDIUM
SBCP TimelineMEDIUM
Trade ForecastsHIGH
Commodity PricesMEDIUM
Concession Ext.LOW
SecurityHIGH
LeadershipHIGH
ESG / Green PortMEDIUM
WorkforceMEDIUM
Dividend PolicyHIGH
Port SpecificationsHIGH
Shipping LinesHIGH
Debt & CapexHIGH
Analyst CoverageMEDIUM
Sabah PoliticsHIGH
BIMP-EAGA RoutesMEDIUM
Customer Conc.MEDIUM
Climate RiskHIGH
Legal / RPTHIGH
Mega-ProjectsMEDIUM
Historical Fin.HIGH
INVESTMENT THESIS
CAUTIOUS OVERWEIGHT
Asymmetric upside if concession extended + SBCP on revised timeline
SCENARIO TARGET PRICE
RM1.63
vs current RM1.63
1 KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
2 DCF VALUATION MODEL — SURIA CAPITAL NEW
WACC Components
Risk-Free Rate3.57%10Y MGS (Feb 2026)
Beta0.52Low systematic risk
Equity Risk Premium6.00%Malaysia ERP
Cost of Equity (Ke)6.69%CAPM: 3.57+0.52*6.0
Cost of Debt (Kd)6.09%After-tax: 4.57%
Equity Weight79.2%RM646.7M mkt cap
Debt Weight20.8%RM170M incl. MFRS16 leases
WACC6.87%Discount rate
Terminal Growth2.5%Below MY GDP 3-4%
Concession EndAug 20348.5yr remaining
DCF Output by Scenario MODEL
10-Year Free Cash Flow to Equity (RM Millions)
3 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS — SHARE PRICE IMPACT NEW
WACC vs Terminal Growth (RM/share)
TEU CAGR vs Rev/TEU (RM/share)
Key Variable Impact on Valuation
Probability-Weighted Valuation MODEL
ScenarioFair ValueProbabilityWeightedUpside
BullRM2.7625%RM0.69+69%
BaseRM1.6350%RM0.820%
BearRM1.0625%RM0.27-35%
Expected Value100%RM1.78+9.2%
PROBABILITY RATIONALE
Bull 25%: Requires concession extension + SBCP on-time + commodity upswing (3 concurrent catalysts = low probability). Base 50%: SBCP completes mid-2028 with moderate delays + concession extension probable (most likely single path). Bear 25%: Further delays + commodity downturn + Sarawak competition + concession risk (multiple negative factors must coincide). Expected value RM1.78 suggests ~9% upside from current RM1.63.
Valuation Football Field (RM/share) MULTI-METHOD
4 PEER VALUATION COMPARISON NEW
OperatorMarketTEU (M)RevenueEBITDA %P/EEV/EBITDAROEMkt Cap
Suria CapitalMalaysia0.50RM278M~39%6.94x2.93x3.9%RM584M
WestportsMalaysia10.98RM2.34B~55%19.7x13.6x26.3%RM15.2B
ICTSIPhilippines14.50$3.23B66%19.9x~15x28%+PHP1.33T
Adani PortsIndia~20INR38Kcr72.5%28.4x~18x18%+INR3.55Tcr
DP WorldUAE/Global88.3$20.0B27.2%~12x~10x15%$25B+
PSA Int'lSingapore40.9SGD7.7B~35%PrivatePrivate
PEER ANALYSIS
Suria trades at 65% discount to sector P/E (6.94x vs median 19.7x) and 80% discount on EV/EBITDA (2.93x vs 13.6x). This reflects: (1) concession expiry risk, (2) sub-WACC ROCE, (3) small-cap illiquidity, (4) single-asset concentration. If concession extends and ROCE exceeds WACC post-expansion, re-rating to 12x P/E = RM2.76 share price (+69%). The discount is a combination of real risk and market mispricing.
Valuation Multiple Comparison
5 SURIA CAPITAL HOLDINGS — FINANCIAL MODEL 5765.KL
Revenue & Profitability (RM Millions) 5-YEAR
Margin Analysis (%)
Revenue Segmentation FY2024
ANALYST NOTE
Post DP World handover (Sep 2024), port revenue now flows through JV — FY2025 a "transitional year." 5 segments: Port Ops, Contract & Engineering, Ferry Terminal, Logistics & Bunkering, Property (Jesselton Docklands). Property revenue recognition (JDA1) = key diversification driver. FY2025 consolidated: RM277.8M rev, RM61.5M PBT, RM46.5M PAT. Total assets RM1.43B, equity RM1.18B.
Balance Sheet & Valuation
Share PriceRM1.63Market CapRM584M
P/E6.94xEV/EBITDA2.93x
P/Book0.49xDiv Yield1.78%
Total AssetsRM1.43BTotal DebtRM170M
D/E3.9%Cash & ST InvRM284M
ROCE~2.9%WACC6.87%
ROE (FY25)3.9%ROE (FY24)2.9%
52W High/LowRM2.17/1.38AnalystHOLD RM1.79
Payout Ratio24.2%DPS 10yr CAGR-6.4%
VALUATION
ROCE ~2.9% (FY24) below WACC 6.87% = value destruction. P/Book 0.49x prices concession risk. Extension confirmation could re-rate to 0.8x P/Book = RM2.76 (+69%). Cash & ST investments RM284M vs RM170M total liabilities (incl. MFRS16 leases; bank borrowings RM44.9M) = strong net cash position. ROE ~3.9% depressed by RM1.18B equity base.
Historical Financial Performance (10-Year Trend) NEW
YearRevenue (RM M)PBT (RM M)PAT (RM M)EPS (sen)DPS (sen)Trend
FY2015236.773.252.814.74.00PEAK ERA
FY2016223.161.444.212.34.00DECLINE
FY2017218.958.742.111.73.50DECLINE
FY2018231.563.845.912.83.50RECOVERY
FY2019245.266.147.613.33.50GROWTH
FY2020212.445.732.99.23.50COVID
FY2021228.656.340.511.33.00RECOVERY
FY2022271.070.450.614.13.00POST-COVID PEAK
FY2023259.856.240.411.33.00NORMALISE
FY2024271.147.133.879.453.00DPW TRANSITION
FY2025277.861.546.513.03.00PROPERTY BOOST
10-YEAR FINANCIAL PATTERN
Revenue range-bound RM212-277M over decade. FY2022 post-COVID peak at RM271M. FY2025 breaks through at RM277.8M driven by Jesselton Docklands Phase 1 revenue recognition (Q3 property: RM81.1M, +75% QoQ). Core port revenue structurally compressed post-DPW handover as SBCP flows shift to 51% JV. Auditor: KPMG PLT (consistent). No qualified opinions. Cash & ST investments: RM284M (bank borrowings only RM44.9M) — strong liquidity provides 18+ months runway.
6 FREE CASH FLOW PROJECTION NEW
FCF Bridge — Operating CF to FCFE (RM M)
Cash Flow Model Detail
7 THROUGHPUT FORECASTING MODEL — 10-YEAR
SBCP Container Throughput Scenarios ('000 TEU) FORECAST
Projection Assumptions
Total Port System Throughput
8 SBCP EXPANSION TRACKER — RM899.81M
Completion
~18%
vs 100% target Feb 2025
82pp behind schedule
Revised Target
2027
2+ years delayed
WCT Holdings(60%)+CCCC(40%) JV
Total Capex
RM1.03B
Federal SEDIA funded
500K → 1.25M TEU
Infrastructure Specifications
ParameterCurrentExpandedChange
Berth Length500m833m+333m (+67%)
Berth Width50m100m+100%
Draft Depth12m14m+2m
Container Yard15 ac40 ac+167%
Capacity500K TEU1.25M TEU+150%
Crane GMPH2650+92%
Congestion Crisis (Feb 2026)
Capacity Utilization100.4%
Vessel Wait Time8 days
Container Dwell4+ hours
Lorry QueueMiles-long
ECONOMIC IMPACT
Interim measures (temp yard +30K TEU, 24/7 govt services, RTG cranes) = ~6% relief only. Each month delay costs RM15-25M in economic losses. Yard utilization improved from 100% to 64% after Ro-Ro relocation.
9 REVENUE PROJECTION MODEL — SBCP POST-EXPANSION
Revenue by Scenario (RM Millions)
Revenue Model Detail
10 SABAH TRADE FLOWS & COMMODITY ANALYSIS
Export Composition 2024 (RM61.3B)
Trade Balance (RM Billions)
Key Trade Metrics 2024
Total Trade
RM107.8B
+2.7% YoY
Exports
RM61.3B
-2.3% YoY
Imports
RM46.4B
+10.2% YoY
Surplus
RM14.9B
-27.9% YoY
11 TRADE PARTNER ANALYSIS NEW
Trade Partner Composition (2024)
Import Source Growth (2024 YoY)
Palm Oil Export Destinations (Malaysia-wide, proxy)
CountryVolume (M t)ShareTrend
India3.0317.9%#1 (11yr)
China1.398.2%Stable
EU1.297.7%EUDR risk
Kenya1.267.5%Growing
Turkey0.915.4%Stable
Philippines0.694.1%BIMP-EAGA
Japan0.603.6%Stable
Container Freight Economics
Route/MetricValueNotes
East MY Port PremiumUSD350-500/TEUvs Port Klang rates
China→MY (20ft min)RM703Shenzhen origin
China→MY (40ft min)RM1,171Shenzhen origin
Shenzhen→P.Klang5 days transitFastest route
Container Imbalance41% empty globallySabah import-heavy
Cabotage Relief (2017)-15 to -25%Freight reduction
P.Klang THC (Jul25)RM390/TEU+30% from RM300
FREIGHT INTELLIGENCE
Sabah classified as "outport" by major carriers. 87.5% of boxes transit Port Klang hub. ES1 service (PIL+Evergreen+COSCO+CMA CGM, 13 vessels, May 2024) = first direct multi-carrier service. Cabotage exemption (2017) cut rates 15-25% but premium persists at USD350-500/TEU above Peninsular.
12 VESSEL & SHIPPING ECONOMICS NEW
SBCP Vessel Calls
~620/yr
Pre-expansion capacity
Avg Vessel Size
~1,500 TEU
Feedermax class
Post-Expansion
4-5K TEU
Panamax capable (14m)
Vessel Size Distribution
Port THC Comparison (2025)
13 COMMODITY PRICE FORECASTS & PRODUCTION
Price Forecasts (USD) MEDIUM
Sabah Production
Commodity20232024TrendNotes
CPO4.50M t4.27M t-5.1%26%+ MY; 128 mills
Crude Oil~240K bpd~239K bpdFlat42% MY production
LNG~2M t2.17M t+8.5%PFLNG3 2027
Cocoa171 t307 t+79.7%RM12B MY exports
Timber+11%GrowingJP22%,US11%,TW9%
EUDR IMPACT
Dec 2025 large cos, Jun 2026 smallholders. EU 2.66M t at risk. MSPO recognized. 3% check rate. Impact: premium pricing for compliant CPO favors certified Sabah producers.
14 SABAH PORT NETWORK
PortRoleTEU 2024SpecializationDepthInvestmentStatus
SBCPContainer Hub~350KContainers, Transship12→14mRM900MCONGESTED
Kota KinabaluMulti-functionLegacyGeneral, CruiseRM4.2BTRANSFORMING
SandakanEast Coast Hub60-70KPalm, Timber11mMaint.STABLE
TawauSouth Gateway100-150KCPO, Cocoa, BarterRM70MUPGRADING
Lahad DatuIndustrial Port50-80KPalm, Energy20mUSD4BMEGA
KunakCPO SpecialistMinCPO 1,500 MT/dRefineryNICHE
KudatBIMP-EAGA10-20KPH corridorCIQSDEV
SBOTOil TerminalN/APetroleumOPS
15 COMPETITIVE BENCHMARKING — ASEAN 2024
ASEAN Port Throughput (M TEU)
Malaysia Port Market Share
INTELLIGENCE
Malaysia 29.4M TEU 2024 (+9%, 5th globally). P.Klang World #10. PTP first to 14M TEU. Sabah 502K = 1.7% national. THREAT: Bintulu Port 52M tonnes (+6.4% YoY), Sarawak state takeover RM1.8B approved Feb 2026 (Acts 858/859). Sarawak Ports Authority consolidating all ports by 2026. RM100B deep-sea port 2028 = existential competitor. SBCP must complete expansion before Sarawak online.
16 DP WORLD PARTNERSHIP
DPW Global TEU
88.3M
100+ countries
DPW Revenue
$20.0B
EBITDA $5.5B | 27.2%
Jebel Ali
15.5M
Cap: 19.4M | 80% util
SBCP Within DP World
DPW Equity51%
Sabah Ports49%
Revenue ModelFinancial receivable
DPW Capex 2025USD 2.5B global
SBCP vs Portfolio0.57%
Target Margin27%+
PKlang THCRM300→390/TEU
PTP THCUSD75-80/TEU
Rev/TEU Growth+13.9% YoY
DPW EBITDA Margin27.2%
PARTNERSHIP ECONOMICS
Operational handover: 9 September 2024. Post-handover Q1 FY2025: Suria revenue -37.6% YoY to RM46M (SBCP revenue now flows to JV). Net profit -19% to RM12M. Financial receivable model = Suria's 49% share of JV profits replaces direct port revenue. DPW 27.2% EBITDA vs Suria 12% net = significant operating leverage. TOS + PCS integration expected to reduce dwell time 30-40% and improve throughput 10-15% on existing berths by 2027.
DP World SE Asia Portfolio NEW
CountryPort/TerminalDetails
VietnamSPCT Ho Chi MinhStrategic gateway
ThailandLaem ChabangStrategic gateway
IndonesiaBelawan NCT+1M TEU added 2024
LaosSavan Logistics Dry PortAcquired 2024
MalaysiaSBCP Sabah51% JV since Sep 2024
DP World: 78 terminals, 40 countries, 119K employees. SBCP = 0.57% of global throughput. Regional HQ: Singapore (est. 2021).
DP World Leadership Change CRITICAL
13 Feb 2026: Chairman & Group CEO Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem resigned after being named in Epstein Files release as co-conspirator. Not criminally charged.

New leadership:
• Chairman: HE Essa Kazim (effective 13 Feb 2026)
• Group CEO: Yuvraj Narayan (effective 13 Feb 2026)

SBCP Impact Assessment: Leadership change creates strategic uncertainty for emerging market JVs. Bin Sulayem personally signed the Sabah JV in April 2024. New CEO Narayan (ex-CFO) may prioritise portfolio rationalisation over expansion. Monitor for any changes to SBCP investment commitments.
17 LOGISTICS & CORRIDORS
Pan-Borneo Highway (Sabah)
Phase 1A (706km) — 82.55%Q1 2026
Phase 1B — 3.70%2028
Phase 2 (96km Tamparuli-Ranau)Planning
Total: RM27B | Rail feasibility Q3 2026 | 39 projects to 2030
Industrial Parks
FacilitySizeInvestmentStatus
KKIP8,320 acRM11.2BAT CAPACITY
POIC Lahad Datu4,400 acRM3.5BEXPANDING
SOGIP Sipitang~100% occRM29.87BEsteel RM31B | SAMUR RM4.6B
Jesselton14.2 haRM4.2BPHASE 1
18 INVESTMENT PIPELINE
Active Investments (RM Billions)
BIMP-EAGA Regional Context
EAGA Economy
$1.34T
18% of 4-country GDP
EAGA Trade
$166B
21.7% members' total
FDI Inflows
$20.7B
+6.1% | 64.9% regional
Infra Pipeline
$67B
217 projects
19 RISK ASSESSMENT MATRIX
20 SECURITY & GEOPOLITICAL
ESSCOM Maritime 5YR ZERO
0
Kidnappings since Jan 2020 | Threat: LOW (PCG Jan 2025)
OverallLOW
Sulu PiracyCONTAINED
PH ClaimDORMANT
SCSELEVATED
ESSZONE (est. 25 Mar 2013): 10 districts incl. Sandakan, Tawau, Lahad Datu, Kunak, Semporna. Commander: Datuk Victor Sanjos. Forces: PDRM + MAF + MMEA.
Timeline: 2013 Lahad Datu intrusion (56 militants KIA) → 2016 peak (17 kidnappings, 58 crew) → 2017 multi-nation transit corridors → 2020+ zero incidents.
2024-28 plan: AI-enhanced surveillance, long-range cameras (Indrasabah, Banggi), ESSCOM Fusion Centre, tactical floating barges, fibre optic installation.
Insurance: Marine premiums track ReCAAP data. War Risk policies may be required for piracy cover. Sulu-Celebes classified "moderate" risk — adds cost vs SCS routing.
MA63 Revenue Claim
Current: 5% petroleum royalty
Claim: 40% revenue entitlement (MA63)
Impact: 20% royalty @ $69/bbl = +RM3-5B/yr
Status: Negotiating; politically sensitive

Port Impact: Higher state revenue = accelerated infrastructure, industrial parks, logistics modernization.
21 STRATEGIC TIMELINE 2024-2035
22 CABOTAGE POLICY & PORT TARIFF ANALYSIS NEW
Cabotage Policy Impact on Sabah
FactorDetailImpact
Policy Origin1980 Merchant Shipping OrdinanceMY-flagged vessels only for domestic trade
2017 ExemptionNon-MY ships allowed Pen↔SabahFreight -15 to -25%
2024 StatusExemptions partially revokedCosts re-escalating
Price PremiumConsumer goods +30% vs PeninsularConstruction materials +20%
Container Imbalance80% imports at SBCPCarriers recover via elevated inbound rates
Dependency90%+ goods via maritimeNo rail/road alternative to Peninsula
CABOTAGE INTELLIGENCE
Sabah classified as "outport" by major carriers. 87.5% of containers transit Port Klang hub. The 2017 exemption cut freight 15-25%, but 2024 partial revocation threatens to reverse gains. If full cabotage restored, Sabah shipping costs could rise 10-20%, directly impacting port competitiveness and consumer prices. Future exemption = 10-20% freight reduction in Year 1.
Port Tariff Comparison (2025-26)
PortTHC/TEUvs SBCPNotes
SBCP~RM280RM200/20ft, RM300/40ft (derrick)
Port KlangRM390+39%Phased: RM300→345→375→390
Tanjung Pelepas~RM340+21%USD75-80/TEU equiv
Singapore~RM530+89%USD120-130/TEU
Vietnam (avg)~RM220-21%Regional low-cost competitor
TARIFF ARBITRAGE
SBCP's THC at RM280/TEU is 28% below Port Klang (RM390 post-Jul 2025). This is a significant competitive advantage for BIMP-EAGA routing. P.Klang's 30% increase (RM300→390, phased Jun 2025-Jan 2027) could drive regional cargo toward lower-cost alternatives including expanded SBCP. Sabah Ports Authority tariff framework dates to 1977 regulations — modernization overdue.
23 PALM OIL EXPORT LOGISTICS CHAIN NEW
Sabah Palm Oil Infrastructure
MetricValueContext
CPO Production4.27M tonnes26%+ of Malaysia total
Plantation Area1.55M hectaresLargest state by area
Palm Oil Mills128 mills34.7M t FFB capacity
Oil Extraction Rate20.4%Highest in Malaysia
POIC Lahad Datu4,400 acres60 investments, 20m draft
Tank Farm Cap20,000 MTPOIC liquid bulk
Kunak CPO Terminal1,500 MT/dayDedicated CPO specialist
LOGISTICS CHAIN
Plantation → 128 Mills (FFB processing) → Pipe rack network → Tank farms (POIC Lahad Datu 20,000 MT) → Port terminals (Lahad Datu 20m draft, Sandakan 11m, Kunak specialist) → Export vessels. POIC is APEX-designated Tender Port for CPO and Palm Olein Futures. Downstream: CPO refineries, biodiesel plants, biomass processors all co-located.
Major Sabah Palm Oil Exporters
CompanyScaleKey Metric
Wilmar International230,951 ha plantedWorld's largest palm oil trader
KL Kepong (KLK)Major refinery opsDownstream integration
FGV Holdings26.7% planted areaGovt-linked; 3 key landscapes
Hap Seng PlantationsHQ Lahad Datu$780M export revenue (2024)
Genting-Musim Mas~27% exportsTabin, Tawau, Lower Sugut
EUDR EXPOSURE
EU 2.66M t palm oil imports at risk under EUDR. Large companies Dec 2025, smallholders Jun 2026. MSPO certification recognized by EU (3% check rate). Certified Sabah CPO commands premium pricing. 43% of Malaysia FFB from smallholders — compliance support critical. Sabah's high OER (20.4%) makes certified CPO more cost-efficient per tonne.
24 COMPETING PORTS THREAT ANALYSIS NEW
Sarawak Ports — Primary Threat
PortThroughputStatusThreat Level
Bintulu Port52M tonnesState takeover RM1.8B (Feb 2026)HIGH
Samalaju IndustrialExpandingHeavy industry hubMEDIUM
Sarawak Deep-SeaTBDRM100B mega-project 2028HIGH (future)
SARAWAK CONSOLIDATION
Acts 858 & 859 (Parliament 2024) returned port jurisdiction to Sarawak state. Federal operations extended to end-2026. RM1.8B Bintulu Port takeover approved Feb 2026. Sarawak Ports Authority consolidating all state ports by 2026. Bintulu's 52M tonnes (6.4% growth) dwarfs SBCP but is bulk-focused, not container. The RM100B deep-sea port (2028 target) is the existential threat — SBCP must complete expansion first.
Kalimantan & Regional Competitors
PortCountryDevelopmentThreat
SamarindaIndonesia (E.Kali)Logistics railway expansionMEDIUM
BalikpapanIndonesia (E.Kali)IKN new capital proximityMEDIUM
MakassarIndonesia (Sulawesi)Enhanced customs processingLOW
ZamboangaPhilippinesBIMP-EAGA gatewayLOW
TawauMalaysia (Sabah)RM70M upgrade; Indonesia borderINTERNAL
COMPETITIVE POSITION
Kalimantan ports are inland-oriented, not competing for transshipment. Indonesia's new capital (IKN) near Balikpapan could redirect some BIMP-EAGA traffic. Philippines ports lack depth/equipment. SBCP's DP World partnership + 14m post-expansion draft + RM280/TEU THC = strongest regional value proposition. Key defence: complete expansion before Sarawak deep-sea port goes online (2028).
25 BIMP-EAGA REGIONAL ECONOMICS NEW
EAGA Trade 2024
$166B
21.7% of members' total
Merchandise trade
Intra-EAGA
$36B
21.71% internal
Regional integration
FDI Inflows
$20.7B
+6.1% YoY
64.9% regional share
Tourism 2024
6.01M
+50.6% YoY
Visitor arrivals
BIMP-EAGA Infrastructure Pipeline
CategoryProjectsValueStatus
Total Pipeline217 projects$67BACTIVE
TransportPan-Borneo, Ports, Air~$25BIN PROGRESS
EnergyCross-border grids~$12BDEVELOPING
ICTDigital connectivity~$5BPLANNING
AgricultureValue chain dev~$8BACTIVE
Sabah's EAGA Gateway Role
Strategic Position: Sabah is the only EAGA member with direct sea access to all 4 member nations (Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines).

Key Corridors:
KK-Zamboanga: Ro-Pax route (Kudat CIQS upgrade planned)
Tawau-Nunukan-Tarakan: Active barter trade + ferry services
Sandakan-Sulu Sea: Palm oil + timber exports to PH/ID
SBCP-Brunei: Container feeder connectivity

Constraint: Intra-EAGA trade at 21.7% is growing but still dominated by bilateral Pen.MY-Sabah domestic flows (46.8% of all Sabah trade). True EAGA integration requires customs harmonization, single-window processing, and shipping route development.
26 LEADERSHIP & CORPORATE GOVERNANCE DEEP PROFILES
Government Ownership 50.73%
ShareholderStakeType
Warisan Harta Sabah SB (Qhazanah Sabah)45.40%STATE
Chief Minister Incorporated1.68%STATE
Yayasan Sabah3.65%STATE
Free Float49.27%PUBLIC
GOVERNANCE NOTE
Effective state control via 50.73% bloc. Warisan Harta (now Qhazanah Sabah) is Sabah's strategic investment arm — notably, the new Group MD (Datuk Ahmad Rizal) is simultaneously CEO of Qhazanah Sabah. This dual-hatting ensures state alignment but raises potential conflict-of-interest questions.
Board Composition Analysis
6
Independent NEDs
2
Non-Independent NEDs
1
Executive Director
4
New in Jan 2026
Independence ratio: 67% (6 of 9) — exceeds Bursa Malaysia's 50% threshold. Key risk: 4 of 9 directors appointed Jan 2026 in a single board refresh — largest turnover in company history. Chairman is a former federal minister (UMNO); new CEO dual-hats as Qhazanah Sabah CEO.
CEO Compensation: Group MD ~RM1.02M/yr — modest for Bursa-listed GLC. New CFO (ex-KPMG/Morgan Stanley) signals professionalisation.
Chairman NEW JAN 2026
Datuk Seri Panglima Haji Abdul Rahman Bin Dahlan
Independent & Non-Executive Chairman | Age: 60 (b. 24 Nov 1965)
Education: B.Econ & Management, Sonoma State University, California
Political Career:
• MP for Kota Belud, Sabah (2008-2018, 2 terms)
• Minister of Urban Wellbeing, Housing & Local Government (2013-2016)
• Minister in PM's Dept, Economic Planning Unit (2016-2018) — first Sabahan to hold EPU
• Lost Sepanggar seat in GE14 (2018) after switching constituency
Key Achievement: Secured Saudi Aramco's US$7B RAPID petrochemical investment
Current Roles: Chairman, Sabah Oil & Gas Dev Corp (SOGDC); Chairman, UMS; Chairman, Seeds Capital Group
Political: UMNO Division Chief (Tuaran); Barisan Nasional
INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT
Political heavyweight with federal ministerial experience and infrastructure deal-making track record. Appointment signals Sabah state government's intention to leverage federal political connections for port development and concession negotiations. UMNO alignment may complicate under GRS-led state government.
Group Managing Director / CEO NEW JAN 2026
Datuk Ahmad Rizal Bin Dahli
Non-Independent Executive Director | Age: ~55
Education: LL.B (Hons), Holborn College London; Certified Credit Professional (IBBM)
Career:
• Malayan Banking (Maybank), 20+ years (1996-2017): rose from Operation Executive to Assoc. Director, Regional Corporate Banking (Sabah & Labuan)
• Warisan Harta Sabah SB: Head of Projects (Oct 2017), then CEO (Oct 2019)
• CEO, Qhazanah Sabah Berhad (renamed): Oct 2019-present (concurrent)
• Suria Capital NED: Mar 2020; redesignated to Group MD: 1 Jan 2026
Other Boards: Chairman, Celcom Timur (Sabah); Director, Borneo Housing Mortgage Finance
INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT
Dual-hatting risk: Simultaneously CEO of Qhazanah Sabah (45.4% shareholder) and Group MD of Suria Capital. Banking background (20yr Maybank) provides financial acumen but no direct port operations experience. Replacing a 24-year veteran — institutional knowledge gap is the primary transition risk.
Full Board of Directors — Detailed Profiles
NameRoleSinceQualifications & Career
Kee MustafaIndependent NEDJul 2014BA Anthropology/Sociology, UM. 33yr Sabah civil service (1974-2007). Sabah State Secretary (2000-2007, retired). PETRONAS Board (Jan 2022). Former Board: MAS, UC Sabah Foundation. Royal Commission on Immigrants in Sabah.
Michael Tong Yin Shiew, J.P.Independent NEDOct 2019CA (MIA), FCCA (UK), FCPA, FCTIM. 40+ years chartered accountant in KK. Senior Partner, Crowe Malaysia PLT (KK). Rebranded as MICHAEL YS TONG & CO (Jul 2025). Forensic audit, insolvency, corporate finance. Justice of the Peace (Sabah).
Datuk Alexandra Chin @ Fui Lin, J.P.Independent NEDFeb 2022FCCA, CAANZ, MIA, CTIM. Founded Messrs Alexandra FL Chin, CAs (2005). Past Global President of ACCA (2015-16) — first Malaysian. ACCA Global Council 12 consecutive years. J.P. (Sabah). Board: Audience Analytics Ltd (Singapore). 36+ yr accounting career.
Ir. Jerome Jimbangan @ TerenceIndependent NEDFeb 2022B.Eng (BSCE), New England College, USA. 18yr Public Works Dept (1988-2006): District Engineer in Ranau, Penampang, Tuaran, Kuala Penyu. Founded Eramaju Synergy SB (2007) & Jurutera Perunding JJ (2010). Board: LPPB Sabah (housing/urban dev).
Emmie M IdangIndependent NEDApr 2023LL.B (Hons), UM (2013). Admitted Sabah Bar 2014, Native Court of Appeal 2017. Managing Partner, Messrs MIRAM & Co. Practice: land disputes, construction, NCR, estate. Treasurer, PUSAKA. Legal Advisor, Borneo Conservation Trust Sabah. Audit & NRC committees.
Puan Chee Shok TingNon-Independent NEDMar 2025B.Econ (Hons), UKM (1992). 30+ yr Sabah State Government: Asst Director → Principal Asst Director (Budget & Monitoring, 2009) → Under Secretary, MOF Finance & Economics Div (2019) → Deputy Permanent Secretary (Development) (Jul 2022-present). State revenue & budget management.
Departed — Former Group MD 24yr TENURE
Datuk Ng Kiat Min
Retired 31 Dec 2025 | Age at retirement: 68
Education: Accounting & Finance, Lancaster University (UK); FCCA (UK); CA (MIA); Chartered Fellow, CILT
Suria Capital (2001-2025):
• Sr Manager, Corporate Dev (2001) — led port privatisation bid
• GM Corporate Services/Finance, SPSB (2004)
• Group CEO (Jul 2015) → Group MD (Apr 2016-Dec 2025)
Legacy: Transformed Suria from single-asset port into diversified group. Led SBCP privatisation (Sep 2004), DPW 51% JV negotiation, Jesselton Docklands conception, and RM900M SBCP expansion.
TRANSITION RISK
Ng's departure represents the single largest institutional knowledge loss in company history. He personally led every major strategic decision for 24 years. The new CEO (banking background, no port ops experience) must rapidly build operational credibility with DPW, state government, and port users.
Departed — Former Chairman
Datuk Faisyal Yusof Hamdain Diego
Resigned 21 Jan 2026 | Tenure: 5yr 2mo (Nov 2020-Jan 2026) | Age: 64
Education: BA (Hons) Economics, York University Canada; Diploma Accountancy, Toronto School of Business; MBA Shipping & Logistics, Middlesex University London
Career: 25+ years board/chairmanship experience. Director, KUB Malaysia Bhd. Public Interest Director, Bursa Malaysia (2004-2010): chaired Listing, Market Participation, and Compensation committees. Governor, Yayasan Bursa Malaysia. Trustee, Yayasan Bumiputra Sabah.
Departure: Official reason: "pursue other interests." No disagreements disclosed. Notably, his MBA in Shipping & Logistics was directly relevant — replacement (Abdul Rahman Dahlan) has political rather than maritime expertise.
Key Management Personnel — Deep Profiles
NameRoleCareer & Qualifications
Phoon Wai WahGroup CFO
Since Mar 2025
B.Bus (Accountancy), QUT Australia; CPA (AU & MY). 24+ years: KPMG (10yr, financial audits, Vietnam assignments) → Bank of New York (VP, Accounting Policy) → Morgan Stanley (Executive Director, Advisory Services & Accounting Policy, New York; ED Head of Global Accounting Standards & Control, Hong Kong) → Private fund roles → Joined Suria Aug 2024 as Group Financial Controller, promoted to CFO Mar 2025. International-calibre appointment.
Lai Fui NarGM Technical & Process Improvement, SPSB
Since Sep 2004
Advanced Diploma Logistics & Transport (UK); Chartered Member CILT. Career started 1979 as Asst Work Study Officer, Sabah Ports Authority. Sr Manager SBCP (2013-2018) → Deputy GM Process Improvement (2018-2019) → GM (Apr 2019-present). AIM Philippines alumni. Past President, SWEPA (2019-2021). 47 years in Sabah port operations.
Safuan Basir, FCCAMD, DP World Sabah (SBCP SB)
Since Sep 2024
ACCA, Emile Woolf College; Nottingham Trent University. PSC Auditor, PETRONAS → EY Senior Consultant → Celcom Senior Manager → GM, Port Klang Free Zone → Sr Director Business Development, PTP → CEO, Senai International Airport → MD, Crescent Consulting (logistics advisory) → Sr Director BD, DP World Asia Pacific → MD, SBCP SB (Sep 2024). Cross-sector port expertise.
LEADERSHIP TRANSITION SUMMARY — JAN 2026
Unprecedented leadership turnover: Chairman + CEO + 2 NEDs replaced simultaneously. Departed CEO (Ng Kiat Min) had 24 years of institutional knowledge. New Chairman is a political figure (UMNO, former federal minister); new CEO is a banker (Maybank 20yr) concurrently running the 45.4% shareholder entity. Mitigating factors: CFO Phoon Wai Wah (Morgan Stanley/KPMG) brings world-class financial oversight; GM Lai Fui Nar (47yr port veteran) provides operational continuity; DPW's Safuan Basir (FCCA, ex-PTP/airport CEO) ensures JV execution independence. The critical 12-month test: can the new board navigate the concession extension negotiation, SBCP expansion oversight, and Jesselton Docklands launch simultaneously?
SPSB Management Team — Full Operational Structure 23 NAMED
Managing Director
Datuk Ahmad Rizal Dahli
Also CEO, Qhazanah Sabah
GM Technical & Process Improvement
Lai Fui Nar
47yr tenure (since 1979). CILT
Deputy GM Technical
Ts. Jason Jouti
Technology specialist
NameTitlePortfolioNotes
Dahlia IsmailActing Deputy GMCorporate ServicesACTING
Clement Lee Tee YungHead, Group ITTechnology & SystemsDigital transformation lead
Mary Sii Lee MiengSenior ManagerFinanceGroup financial reporting
Hj. Rosarnizam OthmanSenior ManagerSupport ServicesLogistics & admin
Capt. Nadel Veldes JosephSenior ManagerKK & Kudat PortsMaster mariner qualification
Elsie PhilipSenior ManagerTawau PortSabah's 2nd largest port
Hayati Md EnarjiManagerSandakan PortPalm oil export hub
Mazlan bin MalikManagerLahad Datu & Kunak PortsDual-port responsibility
Alex Kong Yin FattManagerSapangar Bay Oil TerminalPetroleum & LNG ops
Karen Rachel SugaiManagerGroup People (HR)~1,000 employee base
Nick AnthonyManagerPort Auxiliary PoliceISPS/security compliance
Emily Ho Lee SzeManagerQuality AssuranceISO standards
Ts. Bruno Robin AnggolManagerEngineering (Projects)SBCP expansion oversight
Mohamad Izzuan Abdul RaniActing ManagerEquipment MaintenanceACTING
Ir. Edwin SabinusActing ManagerEngineering (Facility)ACTING
Julie YongAsst ManagerHSEHealth, Safety & Environment
Kashani SamatAsst ManagerSustainability UnitESG reporting lead
Syahrul Safwan Najwan FaisyalAsst ManagerCustomer Relations & Govt LiaisonStakeholder management
Clare J. AnjemehAsst ManagerAdministrationCorporate admin
ORG STRUCTURE INTELLIGENCE
3 acting positions (Deputy GM Corporate, Equipment Maintenance, Facility Engineering) suggest talent gaps or transition. Port assignments: 5 named port managers covering 8 ports (Mazlan covers both Lahad Datu + Kunak). Gender balance: Notable female representation at management level (Lai Fui Nar, Dahlia Ismail, Mary Sii, Elsie Philip, Hayati, Karen, Emily, Julie, Kashani, Clare).
SPSB Subsidiary Board SEPARATE FROM PARENT
NameRoleBackground
Datuk Seri Panglima Abdul Rahman DahlanChairmanAlso Chairman of parent (Suria Capital)
Datuk Ahmad Rizal DahliManaging DirectorAlso Group MD of parent; CEO Qhazanah Sabah
Datuk Pg. Hassanel Pg. Hj. Mohd. TahirDirectorSabah political/business figure
Datuk K.Y. MustafaDirectorFormer Sabah State Secretary; PETRONAS Board
Hj. Zainal Abidin HassanDirectorGovernment-linked appointee
Datuk Dr Johnson TeeDirectorMedical/business background
En. Basal Datuk BullahDirectorSabah business community
Datuk Ridhwan Roger LinusDirectorSabah corporate director
Musleha Khairunisa MulukDirectorGovernance/compliance
Note: SPSB has its own subsidiary board (9 directors) separate from Suria Capital Holdings' listed board (also 9 directors). Only 2 overlap (Chairman + MD). This dual-board structure is typical of Malaysian GLCs.
Group Subsidiary Map
SURIA CAPITAL HOLDINGS BERHAD (198301001662)
Sabah Ports Sdn Bhd (SPSB) — 100% CORE
DPW Sabah SB (SBCP) — 49% SPSB / 51% DPW JV
SP Marine Services SB — 100% of SPSB MARINE
S.P. Satria SB — 100% of SPSB SUPPLY
SCHB Engineering Services SB — 100% ENGINEERING
JWC Travel & Leisure SB — 100% TOURISM
Jesselton Docklands 1 SB — 50:50 w/ BEDI Dev JV
Jesselton Docklands 2 SB — 50:50 w/ BEDI Dev JV
Jesselton Quay JV — w/ SBC Corporation JV
SP Marine: Ahmad Khazirul Ahmad Sainin (Operations Mgr). Tugboat/marine services.
S.P. Satria: Port equipment spare parts & marine supplies.
SCHB Engineering: Construction, railway engineering, renewables.
JWC Travel: Jesselton Point Ferry Terminal, CIQS for cruise passengers.
JV Partners — Key Entities
BEDI Development SB (75% owned by EXSIM Group)
Jesselton Docklands JV partner (RM4.2B GDV)
EXSIM founded 2008 by Lim Brothers:
Lim Aik Hoe — Founder & MD (licensed auditor)
Lim Aik Kiat — Deputy MD (QS, Nottingham Trent Univ UK)
Lim Aik Fu — Deputy MD (chartered accountant & company secretary)
Track record: Sabah-focused developer; Bayu Damai (KK), Sejati Sentral (Sandakan)
SBC Corporation Bhd (5207.KL)
Jesselton Quay JV partner (RM1.8B GDV)
Datuk Sia Teong Heng — MD & CEO (since 1991, 35yr tenure; MSc Management Science, Imperial College London)
Datuk Roselan Johar Mohamed — Independent NE Chairman
JQ Phase 1 (JQC): 99.5% complete, COO Jan 2022. Suria entitlement: 18% of GDV.
DP World (UAE — Global)
SBCP 51% JV partner (88.3M TEU global network)
Safuan Basir, FCCA — MD, DPW Sabah (ex-PTP, Senai Airport CEO)
• HQ: Jebel Ali, Dubai. Chairman: Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem
Handover: 9 Sep 2024. Target: 500K→1.25M TEU capacity.
LPPS — Lembaga Pelabuhan-Pelabuhan Sabah (Regulatory Authority) GOVERNMENT
Role: Government regulatory body that oversees ALL Sabah ports. Separate from SPSB (the operating company). Grants concessions, sets tariffs (1977 framework), enforces maritime safety.

Chairman: Datuk Dr. Zaki Gusmiah
Known Management:
Siti Noraishah Azizan — GM Corporate Services
Puan Mimi Shazmira Mohd Said — Legal Manager

Critical Interface: LPPS controls the concession agreement (expires Aug 2034). Extension negotiations flow through this body. The LPPS chairman is a political appointee — state government changes can shift concession stance.
Notable Figure: Datuk Donald Peter Mojuntin
Former MP Penampang (2004-08), MLA Moyog (2008-13), Senator (2018-21). UPKO Deputy President (Pakatan Harapan coalition). Son of Datuk Peter Mojuntin (died 1976 Sabah Air crash). Lawyer by training. Previously associated with LPPS governance.

Suria Capital Property Lead:
Datin Soh Wan Ru — Head, Group Corporate Planning & Development. Leads Jesselton Quay and Jesselton Docklands projects for Suria Capital.
27 WORKFORCE & LABOUR MARKET INTELLIGENCE NEW
SPSB Workforce
792
Across 8 ports
Suria Group: ~1,090 total
Sabah Unemployment
7.6%
vs 3.2% national
Structural underemployment
Sabah Median Wage
RM1,864
-33% vs national RM2,793
Min wage: RM1,700
Global Officer Shortage
89,510
By 2026 (BIMCO)
Maritime skills crisis
Labour Market Dynamics STRUCTURAL
FactorDataImpact
Foreign WorkersIndonesians 85%, Filipinos 15%DEPENDENCY
UnionisationNo union at SPSB; 5.8% nationalZERO
Strike HistoryZero strikes; zero industrial actionsSTABLE
Pan-Borneo CompetitionRM27B highway projectLABOUR DRAIN
Wage FloorRM1,700 minimum (2025)MARGIN PRESSURE
Maritime TrainingUMS, ALAM, PoliteknikPIPELINE
Automation RiskDPW e-RTG + Autostore TOSTRANSITION
LABOUR MARKET RISK
Sabah's 7.6% unemployment masks a skills mismatch — high general unemployment but acute shortage of qualified port operators, crane drivers, and maritime officers. Pan-Borneo Highway (RM27B) competes for same blue-collar labour pool. DPW automation (e-RTGs, Autostore TOS) will reduce headcount needs but require upskilling investment.
Workforce Cost & Productivity
Cost Advantage: Sabah median wage RM1,864/mo is 33% below national average. Port labour costs significantly below Port Klang/PTP benchmarks, providing structural OPEX advantage for SBCP operations.

Productivity Gap: Crane moves/hr at SBCP estimated at 18-22 vs global best-in-class 35-40 (Singapore). DPW's operational takeover targets significant productivity uplift through training & automation.

Skills Pipeline: UMS (Universiti Malaysia Sabah) maritime programs, ALAM (Malaysian Maritime Academy), and 3 polytechnics provide a growing talent pipeline. However, brain drain to Peninsular Malaysia remains a persistent issue — estimated 15-20% of Sabah graduates relocate within 2 years.

DPW HR Integration: Post-handover (Sep 2024), DPW retained existing SPSB workforce with enhanced training programs. DPW's global HR framework introduces structured career paths, performance management, and international secondment opportunities — expected to improve retention.
28 ESG & SUSTAINABILITY NEW
Green Port Awards & Policy
AchievementYearStatus
APEC Green Port AwardMultipleAWARDED
ACES Green Initiative Award2020AWARDED
ASRRAT Silver (1st Report)2019PIONEER
Green Port PolicyActiveENFORCED
MSPO Palm Oil Certification202392%
MY Carbon Neutral 2050TargetCOMMITTED
Green Infrastructure Deployed
• e-RTG Cranes: Electrified Rubber-Tyred Gantry cranes at SBCP — reduces fossil fuel consumption vs diesel RTGs
• LED Conversion: 1000W HPS → 300W LED highmasts (-70% energy)
• Solar Power: Installations at Tawau Port
• Paperless TOS: Autostore system minimises paper consumption
• Seagrass Transplanting: Marine biodiversity preservation
• Mangrove Restoration: Rehabilitation across port sites
• Environmental Monitoring: Sea-water quality, noise, air quality programmes
ESG Risk Factors
IssueSeverityStatus
EUDR ComplianceMEDDec 2025 deadline; 2.66M t at risk
IMO 2050MEDShipping decarbonisation; shore power needed
Carbon TargetsGAPNo specific tonnage targets disclosed
Climate Physical RiskMED1m SLR = 4.46% land area at risk; KK flood disaster Jan 2026
Monsoon ExposureMEDNE monsoon Nov-Mar disrupts east coast ops; below typhoon belt
Coral Reef ImpactMEDPort dredging vs coral systems; Tun Mustapha marine park adjacent
BiodiversityLOWActive seagrass/mangrove programmes; EIA compliance
ESG INTELLIGENCE GAP
Suria Capital has Green Port Policy and real initiatives (e-RTGs, LED, solar) but no quantified carbon reduction targets or Scope 1/2/3 emissions reporting. As ESG screening tightens (EU taxonomy, Bursa CSR framework), this gap could limit institutional investor appetite.
29 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION & PORT TECHNOLOGY NEW
Current Technology Stack
SystemVendor/TypeStatusImpact
CSA TOS (Autostore)ITP partner; go-live Jan 2017LIVEReal-time container mgmt, gate automation
e-RTG AutomationElectrified gantry cranesDEPLOYEDReduced fuel + downtime
Digital TrackingEnd-to-end shipment visibilityLIVECustomer transparency
IoT Cargo HandlingAutomated asset monitoringDEPLOYINGPredictive maintenance
Port Community SystemNot confirmedGAPMulti-stakeholder integration
Digital TwinNot announcedGAPSimulation & planning
DPW DIGITAL UPLIFT
DP World's global technology stack (30+ Autostore installations worldwide) is being deployed at SBCP. This is a key value driver from the 51% JV — enabling the 500K→1.25M TEU capacity expansion through workflow optimisation, not just physical infrastructure.
Technology Maturity vs Peers
CapabilitySBCPPort KlangPTPSingapore
TOSYESYESYESYES
Automated CranesPARTIALYESYESFULL
Port Community SysNOYESYESYES
Digital TwinNONOPILOTYES
5G ConnectivityNOPILOTPILOTYES
Blockchain/eBLNONOPILOTYES
TECHNOLOGY GAP ASSESSMENT
SBCP is 2-3 generations behind Singapore/PTP in digital maturity. Critical gaps: Port Community System (multi-party data exchange), 5G backbone, blockchain-based eBL. DPW partnership narrows the TOS gap but structural digital infrastructure (PCS, 5G) requires government investment.
30 DIVIDEND POLICY & SHAREHOLDER RETURNS NEW
DPS (Latest)
3.0 sen
10yr CAGR: -6.4%
Declining trend
Dividend Yield
1.63%
vs KLCI avg 4.43%
60% below market
Payout Ratio
~31%
Target: up to 35%
Conservative policy
5yr DPS CAGR
-9.7%
Accelerating decline
Was 5.25 sen in 2013
Dividend History & Trend
YearDPS (sen)YieldPayoutTrend
FY20135.25~3.0%~40%PEAK
FY20203.50~2.3%~35%DECLINING
FY20233.001.81%35.25%DECLINING
FY20243.001.63%30.64%FLAT
FY2025 YTD3.00~1.5%~31%STABLE
Shareholder Return Analysis
Yield Gap: At 1.63%, Suria Capital yields 60% below KLCI average (4.43%). For income-focused investors, this is a significant deterrent. The 31% payout ratio leaves room for increase, but management prioritises capex (SBCP expansion) over distributions.

Capital Returns: Share price has traded in a narrow RM1.40-1.90 range for 3+ years, offering limited capital appreciation. Total shareholder return (TSR) has underperformed KLCI over 5-year horizon.

Bull Case for Dividends: Post-SBCP expansion completion (2028 base), if throughput reaches 750K+ TEU with 25% EBITDA margins, FCFE could support 5-6 sen DPS (3.5%+ yield) without compromising growth capex. This would close the yield gap significantly.

Catalyst: Concession extension + SBCP completion = step-change in distributable cash flow by FY2029-30.
31 JESSELTON DOCKLANDS & PROPERTY DIVERSIFICATION NEW
Total GDV
RM4.2B
35-acre waterfront
Announced Oct 2025
Phase 1 Area
2.53 ha
2025-2031
Hotels, offices, retail
Phase 2 Area
11.54 ha
2026-2041
Cruise terminal + luxury
JV Partner
BEDI Dev
JDA signed Sep 2024
Via SPSB subsidiary
Development Phases
PhaseComponentsTimelineStatus
Phase 1 (Land 1)Hotels, branded suites, offices, retail2025-2031 (6yr)ON TRACK
• BedrockFirst component of Phase 12025 completionACTIVE
Phase 2 (Land 2)Cruise terminal, luxury residences, wellness, intl school, cultural precinct2026-2041 (15yr)PLANNING
• Cruise TerminalInternational cruise hub (East MY)Post-2028DESIGN
Strategic Significance
Diversification Play: Jesselton Docklands transforms Suria Capital from a pure port operator into a port + property + tourism conglomerate. At RM4.2B GDV, this is 3x Suria's current market cap (RM1.4B), representing massive embedded value if executed well.

Revenue Impact: Property development could contribute RM200-250M/yr at stabilisation (2035+), diversifying away from port operations and commodity-linked revenues.

Execution Risk: 15-year development timeline is extremely long. KK property market median RM350 psf vs KL RM700-1,000 psf — absorption rate for luxury inventory is a key concern. JQ CityPads (KK benchmark): RM1,088-1,127 psf for premium waterfront shows ceiling exists but is niche.

Cruise Hub Vision: National Cruise Blueprint designates KK as East Malaysia's international cruise hub. Phase 2's dedicated cruise terminal aligns with 64% YoY growth in cruise calls (2025 vs 2024).
JV Partner Track Record: EXSIM Group (via BEDI) NEW
MetricDetail
Total Developments38 projects completed/ongoing
Cumulative GDVRM14.53 Billion
Key ProjectsThe Rainz (Bukit Jalil), SkyVue (KLCC), Vogue Suites One
Sabah PresenceLimited prior Sabah experience — primarily Pen. MY developer
Risk AssessmentMODERATE — proven nationally but Sabah market unfamiliar
KK Property Market Context & Ferry Terminal NEW
KK Market: Median RM350 psf (2024-25). Premium waterfront: JQ CityPads RM1,088-1,127 psf. Jesselton Docklands must price competitively vs existing KK luxury stock while Pen. MY developers (Sime Darby, EXSIM) bring institutional credibility.

Jesselton Point Ferry Terminal: Closed 1 Mar 2026 for Jesselton Docklands construction. Services relocated to temporary terminals (Sutera Harbour for islands, KKIP for Labuan). Disruption to 1.2M+ annual ferry passengers creates political sensitivity but clears construction site.

Market Headwind: Sabah property overhang at ~RM2.1B (Q3 2025, NAPIC data). KK office vacancy ~25%. Hotel occupancy recovering to ~65% but pre-COVID was 72%+. Luxury residential absorption rate of 30-40 units/quarter is realistic ceiling for Jesselton pricing tier.
32 CRUISE TOURISM & PASSENGER PORT NEW
Cruise Calls 2025
23
+64% YoY
19 KK + 4 Sandakan
Cruise Pax 2025
24,634
+47% YoY
vs 16,727 in 2024
Sabah Tourism Rev
RM8.74B
+20.5% YoY
3.79M visitors (2025)
Cruise Hub Status
DESIGNATED
East MY hub
National Cruise Blueprint
Cruise Growth Trajectory
YearShip CallsPassengersYoY Growth
Pre-202012-14~12,000BASELINE
2020-20220-2MinimalCOVID
20241416,727RECOVERY
20252324,634+64%
2026E30-35~35,000PROJECTED
2030E (w/ terminal)60-80100,000+TARGET
Cruise Revenue Opportunity
Current Model: KK Port operates as multi-use cargo/cruise facility — no dedicated cruise terminal. Berth limitations constrain vessel size and simultaneous calls.

Revenue Potential: At 100K pax/yr with average cruise passenger spend of RM500-800/visit, cruise tourism could inject RM50-80M/yr directly into Sabah's tourism economy. Port fees per cruise call estimated at RM50-100K.

Growth Drivers: Global cruise industry at record 35.7M passengers (2024). Asia-Pacific fastest growing region (+18% YoY). Sabah's natural attractions (Kinabalu, Sipadan, orangutans) are premium cruise itinerary content.

Constraint: Dedicated cruise terminal not operational until Phase 2 of Jesselton Docklands (post-2028). Until then, growth limited by existing berth capacity and cargo-cruise scheduling conflicts.
Cruise Lines Calling at KK & Regional Comparison NEW
Cruise LineVessels
Norwegian Cruise LineSky, Jade
Holland AmericaWesterdam
Oceania CruisesRiviera, Insignia
SeabournEncore
AZAMARAOnward
Royal CaribbeanGrowing presence
Princess CruisesGrowing presence
PortCalls/yrBerths
Singapore MBCCS4212 (220K-ton)
Penang SPCT1504 vessels
Kota Kinabalu23Shared cargo
KK currently 94% behind Singapore and 85% behind Penang. Dedicated terminal (Jesselton Docklands Phase 2, post-2028) is the prerequisite for catching up. Terminal locations: KK Cruise Terminal (Jln Tun Fuad Stephens) + International Cruise Terminal (Jln Tun Razak).
33 SABAH STATE ECONOMY & BUDGET DEPENDENCY NEW
State Budget 2025
RM6.42B
Record highest
Surplus RM24M
State Trade 2024
RM107.8B
3rd yr above RM100B
Exports RM61.3B
Blue Economy
RM3.25B
Forecast annual yields
Marine fisheries + aqua
Tourism Revenue
RM8.74B
+20.5% YoY
3.79M visitors
GDP Composition
52.4%
Services sector
Mining 22%
Budget Allocation 2025
CategoryRM BillionShareYoY Change
Total Supply6.421100%RECORD
Recurring Expenditure2.27035%+RM67M
Special Expenditure3.24751%+RM557M
Revenue Forecast6.445SURPLUS
FISCAL HEALTH
Sabah achieved a balanced budget with RM24M surplus in 2025. Special expenditure (+RM557M YoY) signals aggressive infrastructure investment. Key risk: state revenue is heavily petroleum-dependent — a sustained oil price decline below $50/bbl would force spending cuts.
Maritime-Economy Nexus
Trade Dependency: RM107.8B in annual trade flows through Sabah's 8 ports. With exports at RM61.3B (57%), the port system is the critical chokepoint for Sabah's entire commodity export economy (petroleum, palm oil, LNG, timber).

Infrastructure Pipeline: RM29.87B SOGIP + RM27B Pan-Borneo + RM16B Neptune + RM4.2B Jesselton = RM77B+ in active/planned infrastructure, all requiring port logistics support.

Port Revenue Gap: Specific port fee revenue as % of state budget is not publicly disclosed. Tariff framework dates to 1977 — likely significantly undercharging relative to port's economic contribution. Tariff modernisation could unlock significant state revenue.

MA63 Wildcard: If royalty increases from 5%→20% (under negotiation), Sabah gains RM3-5B/yr additional revenue. A portion could be directed to port infrastructure — transformative for SBCP expansion timeline and capacity.
34 PORT CAPACITY & DETAILED SPECIFICATIONS NEW
All 8 Ports — Infrastructure Specifications
PortBerthsMax DWTDraft (m)Berth LengthCapacityUtilisation
SBCP (Container)2 container45,00012→14m500m→833m500K TEU→1.25M100%+
SBOT (Oil Terminal)Main + Inner30K→60K12mTwin jetty1.2M tonnes/yr~85%
Kota Kinabalu12 gen cargo16,0009mMulti-berthGen cargo opsModerate
Sandakan5 cargo + 1 oil20K/30K oil10mMulti-berth60-70K TEU/yrHigh
Tawau (Senari)6 gen + 1 oil10,00011m635m multi-purpose7M t + 250K TEUModerate
Lahad Datu (Main)2 main40,0007.5m180m + 150m~1M tonnes/yrModerate
Lahad Datu (POIC)1 deep-sea65,000 Panamax15m308m50K→250K TEULow
KunakPalm oil jettySmallShallow1.4M t palm oilSeasonal
KudatGen cargoSmallShallowGen cargoLow
CAPACITY INTELLIGENCE
Critical gap: SBCP at 100%+ utilisation with 8-day vessel wait times — expansion only 15.4% complete. Hidden asset: POIC Lahad Datu has 15m draft (Panamax-capable) — one of the deepest ports in Borneo, yet vastly underutilised at 50K TEU vs 250K capacity. Tawau Senari Terminal's 635m rail-fitted berth at 11m draft is expansion-ready. Equipment upgrade: SBCP upgrading from 4 single-lift STS cranes to 6 twin-lift units — doubles moves/hour per crane.
Tawau Senari Terminal — Storage & Yard
FacilityArea/Capacity
Covered Storage20,000 sq.m
Container Freight Station8,000 sq.m
Open Storage45,000 sq.m
Container Yard160,000 sq.m
Berth Length635m (rail-fitted, multi-purpose)
Max Draft11m (expandable to 9.5m LOA via dredging)
Max Vessel Length200m
SBCP Expansion Phases (RM900M Federal)
PhaseCompletionScope
CurrentOperational500m berth, 12m draft, 4 STS cranes
Phase 1AOct 2026833m berth, 14m draft, 6 twin-lift cranes
Phase 1BSep 2028100m berth width, 40-acre CY expansion
Full Build2028-301.25M TEU capacity, Panamax-ready
EXPANSION PROGRESS: 15.4%
SBCP Equipment Inventory NEW
EquipmentQtyMake/TypeSpec
STS Cranes4Terex (Xiamen)41t twin-lift, 45m outreach, 15-row
RTGs9Terexe-RTG programme underway
Mobile Harbour Crane1Terex Gottwald Model 2Full MHC capability
Reach Stackers7Terex2 units deployed SDK/TWU 2016
Empty Handlers9
Terminal Tractors37Prime movers
Forklifts5
CY: 2,600 ground slots | 338 reefer points | CFS: 126m x 36m (4,536 sq.m) | Annual cap: 620 vessels, 2.8M tonnes, 500K TEU
SBCP Expansion Contractor JV NEW
PartnerShareRole
WCT Holdings (7048.KL)60%Lead: G7 CIDB, 400+ projects, RM40B track
CCCC / CHEC40%Dredging & reclamation specialist
Contract: RM899.81M | LOA: 2 Jul 2021 via SEDIA
Original completion: Feb 2025 | Revised: Oct 2026
Scope: Dredging, reclamation, seawall, quay deck, CY, M&E, buildings
WCT FY24: Rev RM1.83B, Profit RM278M
CCCC: 210 offices, 109 countries, USD 3B+ MY contracts (incl. ECRL 665km)
35 SHIPPING LINES & ROUTE CONNECTIVITY NEW
Container Lines Calling at Sabah Ports
CarrierRankPorts ServedRoutes
PIL12th globalKK, Sandakan, TawauSE Asia intra-regional, 500+ locations 90+ countries
Evergreen Marine7th globalKK, SBCP150+ global routes, 1.5M TEU fleet
SITCRegional leaderKK, Sandakan, TawauIntra-Asia; Dynamic Linkage as KK agent
Mariana Express (MELL)PIL subsidiaryRegionalSE Asia feeder network
Malaysia Shipping CorpPIL associateCabotage routesPeninsula↔Sabah domestic
Hub & Feeder Network
Critical bottleneck: 87.5% of Sabah containers transit via Port Klang hub. No direct deep-sea international services from SBCP.
Feeder links: SBCP → Port Klang (MY) → Global
Secondary: SBCP → Singapore → Global
Tertiary: SBCP → Tanjung Pelepas (MY) → Global

BIMP-EAGA new routes (2025):
• Palawan–Kudat RoRo (dry run Feb 2025)
• Bongao–Lahad Datu sea route launched
• Banggi–Buliluyan barter trade route

Carrier gap: No Maersk, MSC, CMA CGM, COSCO, or Hapag-Lloyd direct services. Sabah ports rely entirely on regional carriers and feeder networks — limiting transit times and adding transhipment costs.
Cargo Mix — Granular Commodity Breakdown
PALM OIL COMPLEX
CPO: 4.5M tonnes (26% national)
PKO: East coast ports
PFAD: Kunak & Lahad Datu
128 mills processing
1.55M ha plantations
FISHERIES & MARINE
550,000 MT fish (29% national)
56% national aquaculture
Squid, octopus, abalone
Ribbon fish, sardine, bream
EU-port RM360M investment
TIMBER & PETROLEUM
Logs, sawn timber, plywood
20% national plywood
Sandakan: largest timber port
SBOT: 1.2M t petroleum
Shell, Petron, PETRONAS
Other: Cocoa (Lahad Datu), copra (Lahad Datu), fertilizer (east coast), cement, steel, LPG. Q1 2025 cargo: 3.6M MT (-32% YoY from 5.3M MT — reflects SBCP JV transition).
36 DEBT STRUCTURE & CAPITAL EXPENDITURE PIPELINE NEW
Gearing Ratio
3.9%
Ultra-conservative leverage
Total Debt
RM170M
vs RM1.4B total assets
Committed Capex
RM900M+
SBCP — federally funded
Total Liabilities
RM290M
D/E ratio 1.92%
Debt & Financing Structure
FacilityAmountLenderPurpose
Tawarruq FacilityRM80MBank Pembangunan MY (BPMB)SBOT oil jetty extension
Current LiabilitiesRM92MVariousWorking capital, trade payables
Total BorrowingsRM170.1MMixedSep 2024 quarterly
Credit RatingNo public rating (Moody's/S&P/Fitch) — typical for mid-cap GLCs
LEVERAGE ASSESSMENT
Suria's 3.9% D/E ratio is exceptionally conservative for a port operator. Peer Westports operates at ~40% D/E. This gives Suria massive headroom for project financing — but the RM900M SBCP expansion is federally funded, not debt-financed. Balance sheet capacity exists for Jesselton Docklands (RM4.2B GDV) and future capex if concession extends.
Capital Expenditure Pipeline
ProjectCostFundingStatus
SBCP ExpansionRM899.8MFederal Govt15.4% complete
SBOT Twin JettyRM20M+Self-fundedCompleted Apr 2024
Jesselton Quay Phase 2RM174M (Suria share)JV w/ SBC CorpSite works Q4 2024
JQ Q Suites TowerPart of JQ P2JV26-storey, 420 units, completion 2028
Jesselton Docklands Land 1Part of RM4.2B GDV50:50 BEDI JV2.534 ha, commence 2025
Jesselton Docklands Land 2Part of RM4.2B GDV50:50 BEDI JV11.69 ha, commence 2028
Segment Revenue Breakdown (FY2024)
RM271M
Total Revenue FY24
-2.6% YoY
88.7%
Port Operations Share
~RM240M port revenue
RM33.9M
Net Profit FY24
-1.3% YoY
SegmentContributionTrendKey Driver
Port Operations (SPSB)88.7% of revenueDeclining post-JV handoverDP World SBCP transition = revenue shift to JV equity
Property DevelopmentGrowingQ3'25: RM81.1M property revenueJesselton Docklands recognition
Investment HoldingMinorStableGroup-level corporate
Engineering & Ferry TerminalMinorStableSCHB Engineering Services
Logistics & BunkeringMinorStableSP Marine bunker services
REVENUE INFLECTION POINT
Q3 FY2025 saw total revenue surge 75% to RM125.3M driven by RM81.1M property development revenue from Jesselton Docklands JV. This signals the beginning of Suria's revenue diversification thesis — reducing dependency from 97% port operations to a port + property model. Q1 FY2025 port-only revenue dropped -37.6% YoY post-DP World transition — but this is an accounting reclassification, not an operational decline.
37 MARKET & ANALYST INTELLIGENCE NEW
Share Price
RM1.63
52wk: 1.38–2.28
Market Cap
RM584M
346M shares
P/E Ratio
6.94x
vs sector 19.7x
Free Float
~47%
State owns 50.73%
Analyst Consensus
STRONG SELL
TP RM1.04 (-37%)
Analyst Coverage THIN
HouseRatingActionDetail
MIDF ResearchDowngradeFY25F -35%, FY26F -36%DP World JV earnings uncertainty
AmInvest ResearchCoverageJesselton focusProperty segment catalyst
Consensus (2 analysts)Strong SellTP RM1.03-1.07Avg TP RM1.04 (-37% downside)
COVERAGE GAP
Only 2 known analysts cover Suria — extreme information asymmetry for a RM584M market cap port operator. MIDF's -35% earnings cut reflects DP World transition uncertainty. Contrarian view: P/E of 6.94x vs sector 19.7x suggests market prices in worst-case; any positive surprise (tariff revision, property recognition, BIMP-EAGA activation) could trigger re-rating with no sell-side coverage to dampen it.
Peer Valuation Comparison
MetricSuria (5765)Westports (5246)Bintulu Port (5032)
RevenueRM271MRM2.34BRM770M
Net ProfitRM33.9MRM898MRM125M
Net Margin12.5%38.4%15.9%
P/E Ratio6.94x22.8x~15x
EBITDA Margin37.5%~55%~40%
Div Yield1.63%3.61%2.88%
Container TEU502K11MN/A (LNG)
Suria trades at 65% discount to Bintulu and 70% discount to Westports on P/E. This reflects: (1) state-linked company discount, (2) DP World transition uncertainty, (3) thin analyst coverage, (4) Sabah geographic discount.
Ownership Structure — Detailed Breakdown
ShareholderStakeType
Warisan Harta Sabah SB (Qhazanah)45.40%State investment arm
Yayasan Sabah Group3.67%State foundation
Chief Minister Inc. Sabah1.66%CM's office
Total State Control50.73%Effective majority
Institutional Investors~18%Funds, insurance
Individual Investors~25-32%Retail
Corporate actions (10yr): No rights issues, bonus issues, share splits, buybacks, private placements, warrants, or convertibles identified. Extremely static capital structure — suggests conservative state-linked management approach.

EPF/PNB/KWAP: No specific holdings identified — may hold via nominee accounts but not among top 30 disclosed shareholders. This is unusual for a GLC and may explain the valuation discount (no institutional sponsorship).
38 CONCESSION & REGULATORY FRAMEWORK NEW
Original Concession
2004–2034
30-year term
Extended To
2064
+30yr extension (conditional)
Tariff Freeze
35 yrs
Since 1977 framework
Extension Status
NEGOTIATING
Terms TBD
Concession Framework
ElementDetail
Legal BasisSabah Ports (Privatisation) Enactment 1998
Tariff LawSabah Ports Authority (Scale of Dues & Charges) Regulations 1977
Original Term1 Sep 2004 → 31 Aug 2034 (30 years)
Extension→ 31 Aug 2064 (+30 years) — CONDITIONAL
Condition"Subject to terms to be mutually agreed with state govt"
Tariff RevisionApplied mid-2019, Cabinet approved in principle 2020, NOT IMPLEMENTED
Revenue SharingNot publicly disclosed
RegulatorLPPS (Lembaga Pelabuhan-Pelabuhan Sabah) — est. 1968
Ports CoveredAll 8 Sabah ports under single concession
CONCESSION RISK ASSESSMENT
The concession extension to 2064 is conditional, not guaranteed. Terms still under negotiation with the Sabah state government as of Mar 2025 stakeholder consultations. The DP World JV may require concession amendment for the 49/51 structure. Critical risk: If extension terms are onerous (higher revenue share, forced capex, social obligations), it could materially reduce equity value. Upside: Successful extension to 2064 = 38-year runway, adding RM0.50-1.00/share in DCF.
Tariff Structure — Deep Dive
Charge TypeRate (2023)Prior RateChange
20ft Crane HireRM200/hrRM75/hr+167%
40ft Crane HireRM350/hrRM150/hr+133%
THC per 20ft~RM200Long frozen
THC per 40ft~RM300 (derrick)Long frozen
Tariff BookletAvailable RM5.00 from SPSB (excluding shipping)
Aug 2023: Crane hire charges revised — first material tariff increase in decades. Container handling charges remain frozen under 1977 framework. Full revision = estimated 15-30% revenue uplift.
39 SABAH POLITICAL LANDSCAPE & MARITIME POLICY NEW
PRU Sabah 2025 — Election Results (29 Nov 2025)
Party / CoalitionSeatsPosition
GRS (Gabungan Rakyat Sabah)29Incumbent — forms govt
Warisan25Opposition
BN / UMNO6Coalition partner
UPKO3Coalition partner
STAR2Minor
KDM / PN / PH1 eachMinor
Independents (ex-GRS)5Supporting govt
Govt Coalition Total38 / 73SIMPLE MAJORITY
Chief Minister's Maritime Priorities
Datuk Hajiji Noor — re-elected for 2nd term (GRS). Ruling coalition (38/73) = simple majority, workable but not supermajority.

1. EU-Standard Fishing Port (KK): RM360M investment by Alpha Ocean Resources. 50,000 tonnes tuna landing, 1,000+ jobs, RM1.8B economic returns. POSITIVE for KK Port

2. SBCP / DP World: Personally championed DP World handover. SBCP positioned as regional hub for BIMP-EAGA.

3. Kudat Port Development: Special zone proposals — South China Sea / Sulu Sea intersection. Blue & green economy focus.

4. Blue Economy: RM3.25B annual target. Sustainable fisheries, aquaculture, marine tourism.
POLITICAL INTELLIGENCE
GRS-led coalition (38/73) with CM Hajiji in 2nd term = stable governance, simple majority but reliant on independent support. State owns 50.73% of Suria via 3 entities. New chairman Abdul Rahman Dahlan (UMNO, BN coalition partner) bridges federal-state interests. Watch: Warisan (25 seats) could position maritime policy as opposition issue if port tariffs/concession terms become controversial.
40 BIMP-EAGA CORRIDORS & FEDERAL POLICY IMPACT NEW
Greater Sulu-Sulawesi Corridor — New Trade Routes
RouteStatusPort Impact
Palawan → KudatRoRo dry run Feb 2025Kudat Port activation
Bongao → Lahad DatuLaunchedLahad Datu cross-border trade
Banggi → Buliluyan (Palawan)Barter trade routeSmall-scale maritime commerce
Zamboanga → SandakanHistorical routePotential revival
Davao/GenSantos → N. SulawesiExisting corridorIndirect competition
BIMP-EAGA CATALYST ASSESSMENT
The Palawan-Sabah sea route reopening (Jan 2025) is the first new international shipping link to Sabah in years. If operationalised with regular RoRo service via Kudat, it creates a new cargo corridor directly bypassing Port Klang hub dependency. Timeframe: 2-3 years to materially impact cargo volumes. Kudat Port currently underutilised — this route is its best activation catalyst.
Hinterland Connectivity — Pan Borneo Highway
PhaseRouteLengthCompletion
Phase 1ASindumin→KK→Kudat & Ranau→Sandakan→Tawau706 km2026
Phase 1BExtensions2029
Phase 2Tamparuli→Ranau96 kmTBD
Phase 3Tawau→Kalabakan→Keningau→Kimanis432 kmTBD
Industrial clusters: KKIP (8,320 acres, 7km from SBCP), POIC Lahad Datu (1,150 acres, FTZ approved Mar 2023, 15m draft deep-sea port). No rail links exist — all port hinterland connectivity is road-based. Lahad Datu Bypass (7km) reduces Semporna/Kunak/Tawau→Sandakan travel time.
Federal Policy Impact on Sabah Maritime
NIMP 2030
RM95B investment target
Sabah = renewable energy hub
No specific port allocations
Green industrialisation focus
Impact: WEAK-MODERATE
CABOTAGE LIBERALISATION
2017: Sabah exempted
2024: Maintained for Sabah
Sarawak: Reimplemented
MSCA opposes exemption
Impact: POSITIVE
MA63 ROYALTY
Current: 5% petroleum
Demand: 20% (negotiating)
Windfall: RM3-5B/yr extra
Port investment potential
Impact: WILDCARD
41 CUSTOMER CONCENTRATION & KEY ACCOUNTS NEW
Top Shipping Line Customers CONCENTRATION RISK
CustomerServiceEst. TEU ShareRisk
SITC Container LinesIntra-Asia feeder; confirmed at SBCP~25-30%HIGH
PIL (Pacific Intl Lines)Regional + deepsea feeder~20-25%MED
Evergreen MarineFeeder to Tanjung Pelepas hub~15-20%MED
MaerskMaiden call Sandakan 2025; exploring SBCP<5%NEW
Top 3 concentration~65-75%CRITICAL
CONCENTRATION RISK
Top 3 shipping lines account for estimated 65-75% of SBCP TEU throughput. Loss of any single major customer would severely impact utilisation. DPW partnership mitigates this via Maersk maiden call (Sandakan 2025) and potential integration into alliance networks. Key upside: Maersk Sandakan maiden call signals interest in Sabah corridor.
Bulk & Energy Customer Base
CustomerPortCommodityRevenue Impact
PETRONAS (PFLNG)Sabah waters + SipitangLNG / O&GANCHOR
Shell SabahMultiplePetroleum, bunkeringSTABLE
ExxonMobil (Esso)KK, SandakanPetroleum distributionSTABLE
Sawit Kinabalu (Yayasan)Sandakan, Lahad DatuCPO / Palm kernelSTATE-LINKED
IOI Corp / KLK / WilmarEast coast portsPalm oil complexDIVERSIFIED
Sabah Forest IndustriesSipitangTimber / wood productsDECLINING
ENERGY DEPENDENCY
PETRONAS is the single most important non-container customer. PFLNG Satu & Dua (2MTPA each) + onshore Sipitang O&G Terminal make PETRONAS the anchor energy customer. Any PETRONAS divestment from Sabah offshore = material bulk revenue risk.
42 CLIMATE & ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT NEW
Sea Level Rise Impact
1m SLR Scenario: 4.46% of Sabah land area at risk. Coastal port infrastructure (SBCP, KK Port, Sandakan) within flood zones.

KK Flood (Jan 2026): Flash flooding inundated low-lying port-adjacent areas. Insurance losses under assessment.

Adaptation: SBCP Phase 2 design has elevated quay walls (+2m above current MLW). No formal TCFD climate disclosure.
Monsoon & Weather Patterns
Below Typhoon Belt: Sabah sits below the typhoon belt — direct typhoon hits extremely rare. Structural port reliability advantage vs Philippines, Vietnam.

NE Monsoon (Nov-Mar): Disrupts east coast ops. Vessel delays 1-3 days during peak. Container damage claims +30%.

West Coast Shelter: KK/SBCP benefit from South China Sea sheltering. Disruption <5 days/year on average.
Marine Ecosystem & Compliance
Coral Triangle: Sabah within global Coral Triangle — highest marine biodiversity. Port expansion requires EIA and habitat mitigation.

Tun Mustapha Park: 898,763 ha near Kudat Port. Expansion must navigate protected area regulations.

Ballast Water: IMO BWM Convention applies. SBCP has limited treatment facilities — gap vs modern standards.

Carbon: No Scope 1/2/3 disclosed. No SBTi. Green Port Policy lacks quantified decarbonisation roadmap.
44 MEGA-PROJECTS & INDUSTRIAL PIPELINE NEW
Sabah Industrial Mega-Projects Impacting Port Demand
ProjectValueLocationTimelinePort Impact
PETRONAS PFLNG 3USD 2B+Sabah offshore; Samsung/JGC2MTPA; H2 2027HIGH
Neptune EnergyUSD 4BPOIC Lahad DatuFeasibilityTRANSFORM
Esteel Green SteelRM31BSOGIP SipitangConstructionHIGH
SAMUR Ammonia/UreaRM4.6BSOGIP SipitangOperationalHIGH
EU Fishing PortRM360MSabah (CM priority)PlanningMED
Pan Borneo HwyRM27BSabah phases 1-3Phase 1 doneINDIRECT
Jesselton DocklandsRM4.2B GDVKK waterfrontPh1: 2025-31DIVERSIFY
DEMAND IMPACT
If PFLNG 3 (2MTPA, H2 2027) and Neptune (USD 4B) proceed, bulk port demand +15-25% by 2030. Esteel (RM31B) at SOGIP Sipitang will require 3-5 MTPA raw material imports, transforming Sipitang into an industrial-import anchor. High execution risk on Neptune and Esteel.
SOGIP Industrial Park UPDATED
Occupancy: ~100% (fully allocated)
Anchor Tenants:
Esteel (RM31B) — green steel; largest Sabah industrial investment ever
SAMUR (RM4.6B) — ammonia, urea & granulation plant (PETRONAS Chemical Fertilizer Sabah)
Hap Seng Plantations — palm oil refining

Gap: 1,200MW power needed for full build-out. Sipitang port/logistics capacity must scale to support steel raw material imports — dedicated industrial berth needed by 2029.

Neptune: USD 4B petrochemical (TS Asia + Chinese SOEs) at POIC Lahad Datu. Feasibility/financing stage. Transformational for Lahad Datu port volumes if materialised.